Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Russia is relying on unwitting Americans to spread election disinformation, US officials say By DAVID KLEPPERy

 

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Kremlin is turning to unwitting Americans and commercial public relations firms in Russia to spread disinformation about the U.S. presidential race, top intelligence officials said Monday, detailing the latest efforts by America’s adversaries to shape public opinion ahead of the 2024 election.

The warning comes after a tumultuous few weeks in U.S. politics that have forced Russia, Iran and China to revise some of the details of their propaganda playbook. What hasn’t changed, intelligence officials said, is the determination of these nations to seed the internet with false and incendiary claims about American democracy to undermine faith in the election.

“The American public should know that content that they read online — especially on social media — could be foreign propaganda, even if it appears to be coming from fellow Americans or originating in the United States,” said an official from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence who briefed reporters on condition of anonymity under rules set by the office of the director.

 Russia continues to pose the greatest threat when it comes to election disinformation, authorities said, while there are indications that Iran is expanding its efforts and China is proceeding cautiously when it comes to 2024.

 

Groups linked to the Kremlin are increasingly hiring marketing and communications firms located within Russia to outsource some of the work of creating digital propaganda while also covering their tracks, the officials said during the briefing with reporters.

Two such firms were the subject of new U.S. sanctions announced in March. Authorities say the two Russian companies created fake websites and social media profiles to spread Kremlin disinformation.

The disinformation can focus on the candidates or voting, or on issues that are already the subject of debates in the U.S., such as immigration, crime or the war in Gaza

 

The ultimate goal, however, is to get Americans to spread Russian disinformation without questioning its origin. People are far more likely to trust and repost information that they believe is coming from a domestic source, officials said. Fake websites designed to mimic U.S. news outlets and AI-generated social media profiles are just two methods.

In some cases, Americans and American tech companies and media outlets have willingly amplified and parroted the messages of the Kremlin.

 

“Foreign influence actors are getting better at hiding their hand, and getting Americans to do it,” said the official, who spoke alongside officials from the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security.

Sen. Mark Warner, the chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said last month that he worries the U.S. may be more vulnerable to foreign disinformation this year than it was before the 2020 election. On Monday he said the warning from intelligence officials shows the U.S. election is “in the bullseye of bad actors across the globe.”

“It also, disturbingly, emphasizes the extent to which foreign actors — and particularly Russia — rely on both unwitting and witting Americans to promote foreign-aligned narratives in the United States,” Warner, a Virginia Democrat, said in a statement. 

 

In one measure of the threat, officials tracking foreign disinformation say they have issued twice the number of warnings to political candidates, government leaders, election offices and others targeted by foreign groups so far in the 2024 election cycle as they did in the 2022 cycle.

Officials won’t disclose how many warnings were issued, or who received them, but said the significant uptick reflects heightened interest in the presidential race by America’s adversaries as well as improved efforts by the government to identify and warn of such threats.

The warnings are given so the targets can take steps to protect themselves and set the record straight if necessary.

Russia and other countries are also quickly pivoting to exploit some of the recent developments in the presidential race, including the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump as well as President Joe Biden’s decision to drop out of the race in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris.

 

Following the attack on Trump, for instance, Russian disinformation agencies quickly amplified claims that Democratic rhetoric led to the shooting, or even baseless conspiracy theories suggesting that Biden or the Ukrainian government orchestrated the attempt.

“These pro-Russian voices sought to tie the assassination attempt with Russia’s continuing war against Ukraine,” concluded the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab, which tracks Russian disinformation.

Intelligence officials have in the past determined that Russian propaganda appeared designed to support Trump, and officials said Monday they have not changed that assessment. 

 

Eroding support for Ukraine remains a top objective of Russian disinformation, and Trump has praised Russian President Vladimir Putin in the past and is seen as less supportive of NATO.

While China mounted a sprawling disinformation campaign before Taiwan’s recent election, the nation has shown much more caution when it comes to the U.S. Beijing may use disinformation to target congressional races or other down-ballot contests in which a candidate has voiced strong opinions on China. But China isn’t expected to try to influence the presidential race, the officials said Monday.

Xie Feng, the Chinese ambassador to the U.S., said Monday that his government has no intention to interfere with U.S. politics.

Iran, however, has taken a more aggressive posture. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines said earlier this month that the Iranian government has covertly supported American protests over Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza. Groups linked to Iran have posed as online activists, encouraged protests and have provided financial support to some protest groups, Haines said.

Iran opposes candidates likely to increase tension with Tehran, officials said. That description fits Trump, whose administration ended a nuclear deal with Iran, reimposed sanctions and ordered the killing of a top Iranian general.

Messages left with representatives from the Russian and Iranian governments were not immediately returned Monday.

 

 

Sunday, July 28, 2024

The Real Story of Kamala Harris’s Record on Immigration BY Jonathan Blitzer

 Republicans have attacked the Vice-President as the Biden Administration’s “border czar,” but her remit was always to address the root causes farther south.

 

Early last week, just hours after Joe Biden ended his reëlection bid, Republican lawmakers received a stern memo from the National Republican Congressional Committee, the Party’s main campaign arm in the House. “Republicans have never had less time to define the presidential nominee of our opponents,” the memo read, according to a copy obtained by Punchbowl News. “It is vital that our entire Conference is on message.” Democrats had quickly rallied around the candidacy of Vice-President Kamala Harris, and several Republican members were already experimenting with openly racist attack lines, calling her a “D.E.I. hire.” “I’m not going to get into all the color stuff,” Representative Troy Nehls, a Texas Republican, told reporters, when they asked him whether such remarks were appropriate. Another memo, which included additional lists of talking points, started with a more conventional subject line: “Joe Biden & Kamala Harris’ Border Crisis.”

Elise Stefanik, the third-ranking Republican in the House, had already announced her plan to file an emergency resolution “condemning Kamala Harris’ role as Joe Biden’s ‘Border czar’ leading to the most catastrophic open border crisis in history.” Many Democrats pointed out that Harris never held such a job. The title didn’t even exist. In response, after Stefanik drafted the resolution, she and her Republican colleagues edited it, saying that Harris “came to be known colloquially as the Biden administration’s ‘border czar.’ ” The rest of the resolution is replete with falsehoods, misrepresentations, and other inanities. At one point, its authors claim that border crossings in May, 2024, were “higher than even the highest month seen under President Trump,” which is untrue. They also cite the chief of Border Patrol, who had “stated that Vice President Kamala Harris has not spoken with him since he was appointed in July 2023”; this simply proves the point that she was not, in fact, in charge of the border. On Thursday, in a party-line vote scheduled before the House adjourns for its August recess, Republicans passed the measure. It is purely symbolic.

The immigration issue has long been a source of political vulnerability for the Biden Administration. Polls show that Americans are concerned about chaos at the border, and that they rank it as one of the most pressing threats facing the country. Until recently, owing to the explosiveness of the subject, the White House has preferred to avoid talking about it. On Wednesday night, in a televised address from the Oval Office, Biden noted, accurately, that unauthorized border crossings are now lower than they’d been when Donald Trump left office. (According to data obtained by CBS News, Border Patrol is on pace to arrest fewer than sixty thousand migrants in July, which would be the lowest number of monthly apprehensions since September, 2020.) Yet Republicans, who’ve capitalized on the general perception of mismanagement under Biden, claimed he was lying. “Biden really just said border crossings are lower now than under President Trump,” Representative August Pfluger, of Texas, said on X. “First we’re supposed to believe Kamala was never the border czar and now this??”

To answer Plfuger’s question, in a word: yes. The number of crossings has dropped significantly in the past five months, owing mostly to increased efforts by the Mexican government to arrest migrants before they reach the U.S. As for Harris, in early 2021, she was tasked with addressing the “root causes” of migration from the so-called Northern Triangle of Central America—Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador. At no point in her tenure as Vice-President has she been in charge of managing the border.

On the eve of the House vote, I spoke with the person whose job came the closest to the one that Stefanik and others have misattributed to Harris: Roberta Jacobson, a former Ambassador to Mexico who, for the first three months of Biden’s term, served as the coördinator for the southwest border at the National Security Council. “My purpose was to reëstablish the interagency mechanism for making decisions about the southwest border and immigration,” she told me. Part of what makes the border so difficult to control is that the task combines domestic and foreign policy, which involve different branches of the federal bureaucracy. Jacobson’s remit was to serve as a point person for the President, convening regular meetings with officials at the Departments of Homeland Security, State, Health and Human Services, and Defense, then reporting them up the chain at the White House. “The process for making decisions didn’t exist when we came in,” she said. “It was calls with Stephen Miller in which he yelled at the career officials, and they went off to do what he said, or to try.”

Within two months of Biden taking office, thousands of unaccompanied children from Central America started crossing the border. The government didn’t have enough space to hold all of them as it arranged for sponsors to provide housing inside the country. By late March, there were eighteen thousand children in U.S. custody, and more than five thousand of them were being kept in borderland holding cells. It was the first political crisis of Biden’s Presidency. The atmosphere inside the Administration was tense. “There was a real, active debate between people from the advocacy community and the operational teams watching the trend lines,” Ricardo Zúñiga, a former State Department official who served as Biden’s envoy to Central America, told me. “This was right in the middle of unwinding Trump-era policy. . . . Every snippet of messaging coming out of the United States was being misused by migrant smugglers.”

Biden, as Vice-President, had travelled to Central America during Barack Obama’s second term as part of a broader initiative to address border arrivals at their origin point. “He was not just proud of it—he thought it made a real difference. And it did,” Zúñiga said. As President, Biden assigned a similar role to Harris. “He saw it as a good thing,” Andrea Flores, a border expert at the N.S.C. under Biden, told me. “That made sense in 2014 and 2015. It didn’t make sense in 2021. All eyes were on the border. It was a day-to-day, on-the-ground operational emergency. She was set up to fail, because by now the issue was about so much more than root causes.”

If anyone saw the looming political peril at the time, it was Harris herself. Dealing with “root causes” was, by definition, slow and strategic work—essential from a policy perspective but politically inopportune. Positive results could take many years to materialize. “Harris was resigned to the assignment,” Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns write in “This Will Not Pass,” their book about the early days of the Biden Presidency. “She would take on the Northern Triangle, traveling to Central America and negotiating with governments there, but under no circumstances did she want to be branded Biden’s border ‘czar.’ ’’ At a meeting with the President and members of the Congressional Black Caucus, that April, Harris corrected Biden when he said she’d do a “hell of a job” on immigration. Her brief, she added, was the Northern Triangle, not immigration.

 

Harris’s most immediate dilemma, when she took on the role, was that there were few leaders in the region whom she could talk to. The President of Honduras at the time, Juan Orlando Hernández, was under investigation by the Drug Enforcement Administration. (He is now serving a forty-five-year sentence in a U.S. prison for drug trafficking.) Nayib Bukele, the authoritarian leader of El Salvador, who’d had a strong relationship with the Trump Administration, was increasingly at odds with Biden over corruption in the Salvadoran government and a pattern of anti-democratic behavior. That left the regime of Alejandro Giammattei, of Guatemala, a former surgeon whose conservative administration was notorious for its ties to special interests. In fact, Guatemala’s attorney general had been targeting prosecutors and judges who were involved in the state’s own fight against corruption, in many instances arresting and jailing them. Nearly two dozen of the country’s top legal minds were eventually forced into exile.

In May, 2021, a month before Harris was due to travel to Guatemala, she convened a meeting in Washington with a group of exiled jurists, all women, who’d been involved in combating corruption in Guatemala. “At this table are attorneys who have prosecuted drug traffickers and organized crime,” Harris said. “At this table are judges who have advocated for an independent judiciary and the rule of law.” She added that “injustice is a root cause of migration” and that “corruption is preventing people from getting basic services.” One of the lawyers in attendance was Thelma Aldana, a former attorney general of Guatemala who was forced out of the country as she prepared to launch a Presidential campaign of her own. “I left the meeting with Harris feeling very optimistic,” Aldana told me. “She was a prosecutor, too, and we understood each other well.”

 

Harris’s conversations with Giammattei were chillier. He regarded the anti-corruption investigations as the tool of an overzealous left and paid lip service to the idea of coöperating with the United States on migration. Biden, he said, needed “to send more of a clear message to prevent more people from leaving.” This was precisely the message that the White House wanted Harris to deliver when she travelled to Guatemala the following month. On June 7th, in a press conference in Guatemala City, Harris stood next to Giammattei and addressed migrants directly. “Do not come,” she said. “The United States will continue to enforce our laws and secure our borders.” The statement, a single line in a ten-minute speech, prompted criticism from both ends of the political spectrum. Conservatives derided her as feckless, progressives as heartless.

According to Jacobson and Zúñiga, however, the lines Harris was supposed to deliver got truncated in the press’s coverage. The part about how migrants shouldn’t come north “was the line we suggested she deliver,” Zúñiga said. “The whole message was, Don’t come. You’ll get turned around. We’re working to make things better so that you don’t have to make the dangerous trip to the border.” But, he added, “you couldn’t have subtlety in an environment where any messaging was being misconstrued.” The White House’s approach to dealing with migration at the border was still undefined, with different factions inside the Administration competing for influence; as a result, there was no clear script for Harris to follow. “There were things she couldn’t say,” Jacobson said. “She was sent down there without the full set of tools.”

What followed was a string of unforced errors. Harris faltered in an interview on NBC with Lester Holt, when asked a predictable series of questions about why she hadn’t visited the U.S. border. “I haven’t been to Europe,” she replied, awkwardly. Yet taking a trip to the border brought further liabilities, underscoring both her and the Administration’s political bind. “There were four or five border CODELs a week,” a former White House official told me, referring to trips taken by congressional delegations. “Republicans were intentionally staging their campaigns against the ‘Biden Border Crisis.’ Senators were going down there every other day. They played it off as long as they could. The President wasn’t going to go down there.” The White House was reluctant to send Biden because the politics had become toxic. Instead, after returning from Guatemala and Mexico, Harris flew to El Paso, but this introduced another messaging issue. As Flores, who worked at the White House at the time, put it,“It was confusing. Why would she be sent to the border if she wasn’t meant to be responsible for border policy?”

Another irony was that, shortly after Biden gave Harris the Central America portfolio, migration to the U.S. border changed in profound ways. The number of migrants arriving from Venezuela, Haiti, Cuba, and Nicaragua increased, eventually eclipsing the number of arrivals from the Northern Triangle of Central America. The population coming to the border is now more global than it has ever been, the result of international conflicts, continued fallout from COVID, political repression, and increasing immigration crackdowns in Europe.

Stefanik’s resolution condemning Harris deliberately misconstrues the facts of this global shift. In one of the charges, for instance, Harris is blamed for “a record-breaking 31,077 Chinese nationals encountered at the southwest border.” This reference probably says more about China than it does about the U.S. (An earlier version of the resolution described the Chinese nationals as “communist,” presumably because they had fled a communist country.) The resolution also cites “documents” that were “released” by House Republicans showing that the Biden Administration “flew at least 400,000 illegal immigrants into the country.” There is nothing revelatory about the number, although it is inaccurate to call these immigrants “illegal.” They had availed themselves of the Administration’s signature migration program: an effort to provide legal avenues for migrants to be “paroled” into the country so that they don’t have to take their chances illegally crossing at the border. When the Biden Administration first designed the program for migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela, in 2023, it resulted in a ninety-per-cent drop in border arrivals from the four countries.

The immigration debate in Washington tends to reduce the rest of the world to an afterthought. By the time Guatemala held national elections last year, the border story had largely moved on from Central America. But, in August, a reformist, pro-democracy candidate, Bernardo Arévalo, won in a landslide. Conservative activists both inside and outside the Guatemalan government spent the next several months trying to block him from taking office. In late November, Harris’s national-security adviser travelled to Guatemala, with “a very direct message,” Zúñiga told me. “The transfer of power could not be impeded.” Since May, 2021, Harris had been raising money from the private sector to invest in Central America; the total is now around five billion dollars. “A lot of that money was at risk if the election went sideways,” Zúñiga said. “Because of her engagement, the Administration built credibility with civil society and business leaders. So, when the U.S. got in the game on the election matter, we were seen as a credible actor.”

It’s taken the Biden Administration too long to hone its public messaging on the border, but it does have one: the government will punish those who cross illegally, while encouraging others to use legal channels to enter the country. It’s a blunt formulation that raises many questions that Harris will eventually have to answer—among others, about what the future of asylum should look like. Yet it also sharpens the contrast between the position Harris now represents and that of Trump, who is hostile to immigration in all forms and contemptuous of immigrants. Last week’s House resolution reinforces the point: to try to bolster their nominee, congressional Republicans opted for cynicism. ♦

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Joe Biden can be proud of his record By Paul Waldman, author and commentator

 Many critics thought he'd struggle to pass consequential legislation. They were wrong.

 

This wasn’t how Joe Biden planned to end his career. He wanted to be president for his entire adult life, clearly loved having the job and hoped desperately to hold on to it for another four years. But Biden can take comfort in this: He may be America’s best one-term president ever. 

For progressives like me, Biden’s tenure has been a pleasant surprise. For nearly 50 years before reaching the Oval Office, Biden positioned himself as a moderate within the Democratic Party. Many liberals rightly looked askance at the less admirable parts of his long record in the Senate, such as his tight relationship with the credit card industry and his mishandling of Anita Hill’s testimony during Clarence Thomas’ Supreme Court confirmation hearings. We feared that his commitment to conciliation and procedural norms was ill-suited to facing down an increasingly radical Republican Party. But again and again, Biden exceeded expectations.

 

It’s important to remember how unlikely some of the president’s victories were, especially when it came to passing new laws. During the 2020 election, Biden argued that his decades as vice president and senator made him uniquely capable of getting meaningful legislation passed by his former colleagues.

But there was reason to be skeptical of what he could accomplish in Congress. He has faced a Republican opposition increasingly judged not by what it achieves but by how venomously it fights Democratic presidents. While Barack Obama began his administration with huge congressional majorities — including, briefly, a filibuster-proof 60-vote bloc in the Senate — Biden had essentially no margin for error in either chamber from the start. Add in some troublemaking Democrats like Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema and it was reasonable to expect Biden would struggle to accomplish anything. 

Yet he did accomplish plenty. The enormous American Rescue Plan helped carry the country through the terrible economic effects of the Covid pandemic. The Bipartisan Safer Communities Act was the first meaningful gun safety legislation in decades. The bipartisan infrastructure law — something Donald Trump never got passed in four years despite years of promises — and the CHIPS and Science Act represent extraordinary investments in American industrial capacity. And his industrial policy was a key break with the neoliberal approach of the past. Instead, the Biden administration aggressively intervened in the economy to promote new manufacturing, especially in areas that have experienced tough times in recent years.

 The results speak for themselves. Whether you want to give any president credit for job creation that happens under his watch, Biden’s record in that area is unmatched in any presidential term in history. There are nearly 16 million more jobs today than when Biden took office. Under Donald Trump, less than 7 million jobs were created before the pandemic tore through the country, during what Trump absurdly claims was the greatest economy in human history.

 

The Biden legislation that may have the most significant long-term impact, though, is the Inflation Reduction Act, which passed the Senate via Vice President Kamala Harris’ tiebreaking vote after an excruciatingly long and complex process. The IRA had many components, but most importantly, it’s the most significant climate change legislation ever enacted. The IRA promotes clean energy production across a variety of economic sectors and geographic areas, offers subsidies for electric vehicles and reduces carbon emissions in multiple ways. 

Unfortunately, most voters know next to nothing about the IRA or Biden’s aggressive executive actions on climate. As Robinson Meyer of the climate news site Heatmap (where I am also a columnist) wrote of Biden, “Again and again, he would pull off some difficult domestic policy — and then fail to communicate it to voters.” That’s meaningful — part of the president’s job is to bring the public along with what he’s doing — but it doesn’t change the impact of Biden’s practical accomplishments. 

 here are many other parts of Biden’s legacy to praise. He brought long-needed diversity to the federal judiciary, appointing unprecedented numbers of female and nonwhite judges. After four years of Trump’s praising dictators and demeaning U.S. allies, Biden restored a foreign policy consistent with both security and American values. He was the first president to join a union picket line, and his administration was consistently, strongly pro-labor. And despite unceasing Republican efforts to obscure Trump’s almost infinite corruption, his administration has been remarkably free of scandal. 

That isn’t to say that Biden hasn’t made mistakes; every president does. There are decisions he made that I disagreed with. He hasn’t done nearly enough to restrain the Netanyahu government in its disastrous war on Gaza. He could have moved more aggressively to expand access to health care and retain the Covid-era expansion of the child tax credit. And I wish he had embraced Supreme Court reform years ago, not just before he dropped out of the 2024 campaign.

But in the big picture of Biden’s term, two takeaways stand out. First, he displayed a remarkable and admirable adaptability for someone who has been in politics for half a century, adjusting to changes not just in his party but in the world. How many young people would have said a politician in his 80s would do more on climate than any president before him?

 

Second, Biden took governing seriously. He showed that knowledge of how Washington works does, in fact, matter a great deal. When Biden claimed that his long experience would make him better suited to handle the complexities of the legislative process and the sprawling executive branch, some scoffed. Yet he was right. 

In the end, age came for the president, as it comes for us all. In Biden’s case, it left him unable to fight off Trump a second time. But he was a better president than almost anyone expected.


Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Sharks off Brazil coast test positive for cocaine by George Wright BBC News

 

Sharks off the coast of Brazil have tested positive for cocaine, scientists say.

Marine biologists tested 13 Brazilian sharpnose sharks taken from the shores near Rio de Janeiro and found they tested for high levels of cocaine in their muscles and livers.

The concentrations were as much as 100 times higher than previously reported for other aquatic creatures.

The research, carried out by the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, is the first to find the presence of cocaine in sharks.

Experts believe the cocaine is making its way into the waters via illegal labs where the drug is manufactured or through excrement of drug users.

Packs of cocaine lost or dumped by traffickers at sea could also be a source, though this is less likely, researchers say.

Sara Novais, a marine eco-toxicologist at the Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre of the Polytechnic University of Leiria, told Science magazine that the findings are “very important and potentially worrying".

All females in the study were pregnant, but the consequences of cocaine exposure for the foetuses are unknown, experts say.

Further research is required to ascertain whether cocaine is changing the behaviour of the sharks.

However, previous research has shown that drugs were likely to have similar effects on animals as they do on humans.

Last year, chemical compounds including benzoylecgonine, which is produced by the liver after cocaine use, were found in seawater samples collected off the south coast of England.

 

FACT FOCUS: A look at claims made at the Republican National Convention as Trump accepts nomination /AP factcheck

 

As former President Donald Trump accepted the Republican presidential nomination on Thursday he laid out his vision for running the country. He painted a dire picture of the state of the U.S. and outlined a range of actions he planned to take. But his comments were marked with a myriad of false and misleading information that distorted the facts around immigration, the U.S. economy and his previous accomplishments.

Here are the facts.

 

IMMIGRATION

TRUMP: “The greatest invasion in history is taking place right here in our country — they are coming in from every corner of the earth, not just from South America, but from Africa, Asia and the Middle East — they’re coming from everywhere, and this administration does nothing to stop them. They are coming from prisons and jails, from mental institutions and insane asylums, and terrorists at levels never seen before.”

 THE FACTS: Trump spent much of his address discussing immigration and the mass influx of migrants into the U.S., repeating several false and misleading claims, including that it has caused a crime surge. He cited recent high-profile and heinous crimes allegedly committed by people in the country illegally as proof.

 

But the suggestion there has been a spike in violent crime nationally as a result of the influx is not supported by facts. FBI statistics do not separate out crimes by the immigration status of the assailant, nor is there any evidence of a spike in crime perpetrated by migrants, either along the U.S.-Mexico border or in cities seeing the greatest influx of migrants, like New York. In fact, national statistics show violent crime is on the way down.

Studies have found that people living in the country illegally are less likely than native-born Americans to have been arrested for violent, drug and property crimes. A 2020 study published by the National Academy of Sciences found “considerably lower felony arrest rates” among people in the United States illegally than legal immigrants or native-born citizens.

 

There is also no evidence to support that other countries are sending their murderers, drug dealers and other criminals to the U.S.

ECONOMY

TRUMP: “We had the greatest economy in the history of the world.”

THE FACTS: That’s far from accurate. The pandemic triggered a massive recession during his presidency. The government borrowed $3.1 trillion in 2020 to stabilize the economy and Trump left the White House with fewer jobs than when he entered.

 

But even if you take out issues caused by the pandemic, economic growth averaged 2.67% during Trump’s first three years, which is pretty solid. But it’s nowhere near the 4% averaged during Bill Clinton’s two terms from 1993 to 2001, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In fact, growth has been stronger so far under Biden than under Trump.

Trump did have the unemployment rate get as low as 3.5% before the pandemic, but the labor force participation rate for people 25 to 54 — the core of the U.S. working population — was higher under Clinton. The participation rate has also been higher under Biden than Trump.

 

AFGHANISTAN

TRUMP, on the U.S. troops from Afghanistan: “We also left behind $85 billion worth of military equipment.”

THE FACTS: Those numbers are significantly inflated, according to reports from the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, or SIGAR, which oversees American taxpayer money spent on the conflict.

The $85 billion figure resembles a number from a July 30 quarterly report from SIGAR, which outlined that the U.S. has invested about $83 billion to build, train and equip Afghan security forces since 2001.

Yet that funding included troop pay, training, operations and infrastructure along with equipment and transportation over two decades, according to SIGAR reports and Dan Grazier, a defense policy analyst at the Project on Government Oversight.

“We did spend well over $80 billion in assistance to the Afghan security forces,” Grazier told the AP in August 2021. “But that’s not all equipment costs.”

In fact, only about $18 billion of that sum went toward equipping Afghan forces between 2002 and 2018, a June 2019 SIGAR report showed.

 

Another estimate from a 2017 Government Accountability Office report found that about 29% of dollars spent on Afghan security forces between 2005 and 2016 funded equipment and transportation. The transportation funding included gear as well as contracted pilots and airplanes for transporting officials to meetings.

If that percentage held for the entire two-decade period, it would mean the U.S. has spent about $24 billion on equipment and transportation for Afghan forces since 2001.

But even if that were true, much of the military equipment would be obsolete after years of use, according to Grazier. Plus, American troops have previously scrapped unwanted gear and, prior to the withdrawal, disabled dozens of Humvees and aircraft so they couldn’t be used again, according to Marine Gen. Frank McKenzie, head of U.S. Central Command.

 

Though no one knows the exact value of the U.S.-supplied Afghan equipment the Taliban have secured, defense officials have confirmed it is significant.

HAMAS

MIKE POMPEO, secretary of state under Trump, on Americans held hostage in the Gaza Strip by Hamas: “President Biden won’t even talk about the fact that Americans are still being held there by the Iranian regime.”

THE FACTS: President Joe Biden has spoken multiple times about the Americans who were among the 240 people taken hostage by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023. Eight Americans are reportedly still in captivity, including three who were killed.

For example, three days after the attack that started the Israel-Hamas war, Biden said, “we now know that American citizens are among those being held by Hamas.”

Soon after, on Oct. 20, 2023, he said, “as I told the families of Americans being held captive by Hamas, we’re pursuing every avenue to bring their loved ones home.”

Biden released a statement on Jan. 14, 2024, that described the day as “a devastating and tragic milestone — 100 days of captivity for the more than 100 innocent people, including as many as 6 Americans, who are still held being hostage by Hamas in Gaza.”

More recently, on April 27, he wrote in a post on his official Facebook page: “I will not rest until every hostage, like Abigail, ripped from their families and held by Hamas is back in the arms of their loved ones. They have my word. Their families have my word.”

Saturday, July 20, 2024

Project 2025: A wish list for a Trump presidency, explained by Mike Wendling, BBC News

 

A proposed Republican Party platform is expected to be approved at the party’s national convention next week, but a much more detailed think-tank proposal has drawn attention for some of its suggestions.

Project 2025 was created by the Heritage Foundation think-tank and runs for nearly 900 pages.

Led by former Trump administration officials, it calls for the sacking of thousands of civil servants, expanding the power of the president, dismantling the Department of Education, sweeping tax cuts, a ban on pornography, halting sales of the abortion pill, and a whole lot more.

There is substantial agreement between many parts of the official Republican Party platform and Project 2025, although the think-tank document is much more detailed and in some policy areas and goes much farther than the party line.

There is a sharper contrast between the two when it comes to the issue of abortion, with Heritage urging much more aggressive anti-abortion policies.

Democrats have highlighted Project 2025's more controversial proposals, and called the document a blueprint for a second Trump term in office. However, Trump and his campaign have denied or downplayed its influence.

 

What links Project 2025 and the Trump campaign?

It is common for Washington think-tanks of all political stripes to propose policy wishlists for potential governments-in-waiting.

The conservative Heritage Foundation first produced policy plans for future Republican administrations in 1981, when Ronald Reagan was about to take office.

It has produced similar documents in connection with subsequent presidential elections, including in 2016, when Trump won the presidency.

A year into his term, the think-tank boasted that the Trump White House had adopted nearly two-thirds of its proposals.

The Project 2025 report was unveiled in April 2023, but liberal opposition to the document has ramped up now that Trump has extended his polling lead.

Recent US Supreme Court decisions that have strengthened presidential immunity and curtailed the power of federal agencies have further worried Democrats about what Trump might achieve if he returned to the White House.

With Mr Biden's age increasingly a key election topic, the party has aimed to refocus their supporters' attention in an effort to mobilise voters against Project 2025 - which Mr Biden recently said would "destroy America".

In response, Trump has disavowed the document.

"I know nothing about Project 2025," Trump posted on his social media website, Truth Social. "I have no idea who is behind it. I disagree with some of the things they're saying and some of the things they’re saying are absolutely ridiculous and abysmal."

But the team that created the project is chock full of former Trump advisers, including director Paul Dans, who was chief of staff at the Office of Personnel Management while Trump was president.

Russell Vought, another former Trump administration official, wrote a key chapter in the document and also serves as the Republican National Committee’s 2024 platform policy director.

More than 100 conservative organisations contributed to the document, Heritage says, including many that would be hugely influential in Washington if Republicans take back the White House.

In early July, Heritage president Kevin Roberts further stoked the ire around Project 25 by raising the prospect of political violence during a podcast interview.

"We are in the process of the second American revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be," Mr Roberts told the War Room podcast, founded by Trump adviser Steve Bannon.

In response, the Biden campaign accused Trump and his allies of "dreaming of a violent revolution to destroy the very idea of America".

The Project 2025 document sets out four main policy aims: restore the family as the centrepiece of American life; dismantle the administrative state; defend the nation's sovereignty and borders; and secure God-given individual rights to live freely.

Here's an outline of several of its key proposals.

Government

Project 2025 proposes that the entire federal bureaucracy, including independent agencies such as the Department of Justice, be placed under direct presidential control - a controversial idea known as "unitary executive theory".

In practice, that would streamline decision-making, allowing the president to directly implement policies in a number of areas.

The proposals also call for eliminating job protections for thousands of government employees, who could then be replaced by political appointees.

The document labels the FBI a "bloated, arrogant, increasingly lawless organization". It calls for drastic overhauls of this and several other federal agencies, as well as the complete elimination of the Department of Education.

The Republican Party platform includes a proposal to "declassify government records, root out wrongdoers, and fire corrupt employees", pledges to slash regulation and government spending, and also suggests eliminating the Department of Education. But it stops short of proposing a sweeping overhaul of federal agencies as outlined in Project 2025.

Immigration

 Increased funding for a wall on the US-Mexico border - one of Trump's signature proposals in 2016 - is proposed in the document.

Project 2025 also proposes dismantling the Department of Homeland Security and combining it with other immigration enforcement units in other agencies, creating a much larger and more powerful border policing operation.

Other proposals include eliminating visa categories for crime and human trafficking victims, increasing fees on immigrants and allowing fast-tracked applications for migrants who pay a premium.

Not all of those details are repeated in the Republican platform document, but the overall headlines are similar - the party is promising to implement the "largest deportation programme in American history".

 

Climate and economy

The document proposes slashing federal money for research and investment in renewable energy, and calls for the next president to "stop the war on oil and natural gas".

Carbon-reduction goals would be replaced by efforts to increase energy production and energy security.

The paper sets out two competing visions on tariffs, and is divided on whether the next president should try to boost free trade or raise barriers to imports.

But the economic advisers suggest that a second Trump administration should slash corporate and income taxes, abolish the Federal Reserve and even consider a return to gold-backed currency.

On this and many other topics, Project 2025 is more detailed and goes further than the official Republican platform, which talks of bringing down inflation and drilling for oil to reduce energy costs, but is thin on specific policy proposals.

 

Abortion and family

Project 2025 does not call outright for a nationwide abortion ban.

However, it proposes withdrawing the abortion pill mifepristone from the market, and using existing but little-enforced laws to stop the drug being sent through the post.

The document suggests that the department of Health and Human Services should "maintain a biblically based, social science-reinforced definition of marriage and family".

On this issue at least, the document differs fairly substantially from the Republican platform, which only mentions the word "abortion" once. The platform says abortion laws should be left to individual states and that late-term abortions (which it does not define) should be banned.

It adds that that access to prenatal care, birth control and in-vitro fertilisation should be protected. The party platform makes no mention of cracking down on the distribution of mifepristone. 

 

Tech and education

Under the proposals, pornography would be banned, and tech and telecoms companies that allow access would be shut down.

The document calls for school choice and parental control over schools, and takes aim at what it calls "woke propaganda".

It proposes to eliminate a long list of terms from all laws and federal regulations, including "sexual orientation", "gender equality", "abortion" and "reproductive rights".

Project 2025 aims to end diversity, equity and inclusion programs in schools and government departments as part of what it describes as a wider crackdown on "woke" ideology.

Its proposals are broadly reflected in the Republican platform, which in addition to calling for the abolishing the Department of Education, aims to boost school choice and parental control over education and criticises what the party calls the "inappropriate political indoctrination of our children".

 

The plan's future

Project 2025 is backed by a $22m (£17m) budget and includes strategies for implementing policies immediately after the presidential inauguration in January 2025.

Heritage is also creating a database of conservative loyalists to fill government positions, and a programme to train those new workers.

Democrats led by Jared Huffman, a congressman from California, have launched a Stop Project 2025 Task Force.

And many of the proposals would likely face immediate legal challenges from Trump's opponents if implemented.

Wednesday, July 10, 2024

DeSantis, Florida House pay outsiders to influence financial statement on abortion measure by Ana Goñi-Lessan, Tallahassee Democrat

 

State officials are collectively paying anti-abortion advocates hundreds of dollars an hour to represent their interests on an obscure government panel in the battle over November's abortion ballot measure.

It's another loud-and-clear move that Gov. Ron DeSantis and Florida House of Representatives leadership are serious about defeating Amendment 4, the constitutional amendment aimed at ensuring abortion access in the state.

The Executive Office of the Governor is paying Michael New, an assistant professor of social research at the Busch School of Business at The Catholic University of America in Washington, D.C., $300 an hour, to speak at the state's Financial Impact Estimating Conference (FIEC) meetings.

 

And the Florida House of Representatives is paying Rachel Greszler, a senior research fellow with the Roe Institute at the conservative Heritage Foundation, also based in Washington, $75 an hour to represent the House, according to the Florida House's Office of Open Government and House spokesperson Jenna Box Sarkissian.

The panel, which met last week and Monday, determines the "fiscal impact statement" to be printed on ballots, which could potentially sway voters to keep Florida's Heartbeat Protection Act, a ban on abortions after six weeks, in effect.

The voting members, who will decide on the text of the statement, are Chris Spencer, once DeSantis' budget chief and now head of the State Board of Administration, on behalf of the governor; Greszler for the House; Senate Finance and Tax Committee Staff Director Azhar Khan, and Amy Baker, who heads the Florida Legislature's Office of Economic & Demographic Research (EDR).

DeSantis has called Amendment 4 "very, very extreme," and said the Florida Supreme Court "dropped the ball" allowing the measure on the ballot.

In June, the governor launched the "Florida Freedom Fund," a political spending committee aimed to defeat the abortion and marijuana ballot amendments and support candidates across the state. As of June 28, the committee had $121,000 in contributions.

Amendment 4, which needs at least 60% of the vote to pass, would negate the current restrictions signed into law by DeSantis. The ballot measure would allow abortions up to fetal viability, usually about 24 weeks of pregnancy.

That would restore a standard that was in place across the nation until the U.S. Supreme Court's 2022 Dobbs ruling that ended the constitutional right to abortion in the Roe v. Wade decision.

 

Spencer pushed the panel to include potential litigation costs if the amendment is passed, which would cost the state.

"We believe from the governor's office that it's inevitable that litigation is going to occur, and we need to account for that," Spencer said. EDR analysts do not usually include litigation in the fiscal impact analysis.

Spencer listed 20 state laws he believed would "probably" be contested in court, and said the fiscal impact would not only include the cost of the state defending the litigation but also the costs of potential state Medicaid coverage.

Spencer used Michigan as an example — abortion rights supporters are suing the state to overturn the ban on taxpayer-funded abortions after voters passed a constitutional amendment in 2022.

"We can't put a dollar figure how much the litigation is going to cost ... but I think it's something significant enough that it can't be ignored in a financial estimating impact analysis," Spencer said.

Greszler agreed and said other state courts have ruled for taxpayer-funded abortions. Khan, however, said some of those decisions were from the 1980s and '90s before the Dobbs decision that ended the constitutional right to abortion.

"I believe it will be litigated. I feel very comfortable saying that given the history in other states," he said. "But I'm very uncomfortable saying what a judicial outcome will be on this issue."

Later in the meeting, Greszler brought up fertility rates and demographic trends and their effects on the state's economy.

"I think it's intellectually dishonest to have an economic analysis that's only going to consider the short term," she said.

 

Khan said Greszler's argument that a larger population equals a larger economy does not account for Florida's tax structure.

"Folks, if you look at the past in-migration and out-migration trends in the state, we lose people when they finish high school and they finish college, and we gain them back when they get closer to their retirement. How do we account for that?" he said.

The meeting, which started at 9 a.m. Monday, continued into the afternoon, and was the second time the FIEC panel met to discuss the abortion amendment. The panel will meet again next week and is expected to decide what the financial impact statement will say on the ballot in November.

Baker said the panel can "agree to disagree" if they arrive at a 2-2 vote.

Tuesday, July 9, 2024

Why US schools need to shake up the way they teach physics by Clausell Mathis

 

America has a physics problem.

Research shows that access to physics education varies based on race, gender, sexuality and disability. Physics courses are usually standard offerings in suburban high schools, but at urban and rural schools that isn’t the case.

Even in places where physics is taught, the lessons rarely highlight how physics can be applied to students’ everyday lives.

This approach can hamper students’ desire to learn. In my work as a physics education researcher, I’ve encountered lessons centered on the rote memorization of formulas. This method fails to encourage critical thinking, constraining students’ ability to creatively solve problems.

 

America has a physics problem.

Research shows that access to physics education varies based on race, gender, sexuality and disability. Physics courses are usually standard offerings in suburban high schools, but at urban and rural schools that isn’t the case.

Even in places where physics is taught, the lessons rarely highlight how physics can be applied to students’ everyday lives.

This approach can hamper students’ desire to learn. In my work as a physics education researcher, I’ve encountered lessons centered on the rote memorization of formulas. This method fails to encourage critical thinking, constraining students’ ability to creatively solve problems.

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Teachers sometimes believe that if a student can’t grasp a physics concept, it’s the student’s problem. Instructors oftentimes don’t try to present the materials in a way that could help students engage more deeply with the lessons. This adds to the challenges poorer, nonwhite students already face, which include being held to lower standards and having fewer classroom resources.

Imagine if, instead, students could see how physics influences their daily lives in sports, extreme weather or baking and cooking. How might these real-world connections spark curiosity and foster a deeper understanding of physics?

Making physics relevant

Not adequately teaching physics has consequences.

As the economy becomes more tech-centered, understanding physics is critical. Yet the number of Americans with a solid grasp of physics is dwindling.

If there’s a shortage of candidates for jobs requiring a basic understanding of physics, it could hurt the ability of the U.S. to compete in the global economy, or it could compel companies to outsource certain jobs to countries with a better-educated workforce.

Many students have a vague notion that they would like to pursue STEM careers; they realize that these jobs usually pay well and can be interesting and fulfilling. But they aren’t even aware that learning physics can better prepare you for a role as an aerospace engineer, software developer or environmental scientist, to name just a few.

Understanding that relationship alone could boost their desire to learn the material.

But there’s another way to boost motivation, which I’ve spent years studying and developing, called “culturally relevant physics education.”

Physics is usually taught in ways that don’t connect with a diverse student body, leading to lower performance and engagement, especially among poor and nonwhite students. This can cause these populations to see little value in learning physics.

A traditional high school physics class teaches abstract equations and focuses on topics such as projectile motion and electrical circuits. The teacher might explain Newton’s laws of motion using examples exclusively from European history, such as the firing of cannonballs.

I wouldn’t fault students in, say, Raymond, Mississippi, for wondering why in the world they’re learning about the trajectory of 18th-century weaponry.

Physics in racing, texting and farming

By shifting to teaching physics in culturally responsive ways, I believe it’s possible to reverse this trend and cultivate a new generation of physics enthusiasts and professionals. There are plenty of ways to do this.

I’ve worked with teachers in California to explore how the physics of wave motion affects earthquake dynamics and how buildings are constructed. Other lessons include understanding how text messages are transmitted through wave motion and how the physics of firearms can be taught using the concepts of the conservation of momentum and impulse

 

In these ways, teachers can tap into students’ cultures and interests to make physics more relatable and engaging. There is no one-size-fits-all approach: While the physics of earthquakes might resonate better in one region’s school district, the physics of hurricanes might work better in another.

The rural South, in particular, has an acute need for more opportunities to learn physics.

Data from the National Center for Education Statistics indicates that students in these areas have less access to advanced science courses, including physics, than their urban and suburban counterparts. And a 2021 report by the American Institute of Physics notes that fewer high schools in the rural South offer Advanced Placement physics courses, which could be due, in part, to the significant shortage of qualified physics teachers in these communities.

Targeted interventions could help meet this need.

I’ve already collaborated with teachers in the Southeast to develop activities using NASCAR – a hugely popular sport in the region – so students can learn about engine types, acceleration and thermal energy. I’m also one of the principal investigators in a collaboration between Michigan State University and two HBCUs, Alabama A&M University and Winston-Salem State University, to implement culturally responsive physics education in the rural South.

Given the region’s rich agricultural history, the science of raising plants and crops can be another avenue for physics instruction. Teachers could detail how light energy is converted into chemical energy; explain how fruits and vegetables have unique colors due to the ways they absorb and reflect wavelengths of light; and relate how physics concepts such as fluid dynamics can be used to improve irrigation techniques.

By learning these real-world applications, students from agricultural areas could become empowered to contribute to their communities.

This project is not just about filling a gap in physics instruction; it’s also about unlocking the potential of students in the rural South. And we hope they’ll eventually feel confident enough about their physics backgrounds to one day pursue careers in STEM.

 

 

Colorado is home to the longest-running gay rodeo in the world by Rebecca Scofield - Elyssa Ford

 

The Colorado Gay Rodeo Association has held a gay rodeo every year since 1983, making it the longest-running event of its kind in history.

Their flagship event, the Rocky Mountain Regional Rodeo in Denver, is part of a circuit of rodeos that, at times, has stretched across the United States and into Canada.

Despite the cultural pushback these rodeos have faced, the legacy of the Denver rodeo continues as it celebrates its 41st anniversary on July 12-13, 2024.

We researched the origins of this rodeo for our book, “Slapping Leather: Queer Cowfolx at the Gay Rodeo,” which also explores how gay rodeoers were at the forefront of combating discrimination and the AIDS crisis.

 

The Colorado Gay Rodeo Association has held a gay rodeo every year since 1983, making it the longest-running event of its kind in history.

Their flagship event, the Rocky Mountain Regional Rodeo in Denver, is part of a circuit of rodeos that, at times, has stretched across the United States and into Canada.

Despite the cultural pushback these rodeos have faced, the legacy of the Denver rodeo continues as it celebrates its 41st anniversary on July 12-13, 2024.

We researched the origins of this rodeo for our book, “Slapping Leather: Queer Cowfolx at the Gay Rodeo,” which also explores how gay rodeoers were at the forefront of combating discrimination and the AIDS crisis.

The Conversation is a news organization dedicated to facts and evidence

Roots in Reno

Gay rodeo didn’t originate in the Rocky Mountains but instead was born in another mountain range further west – the Sierra Nevada.

Businessman Phil Ragsdale held the first gay rodeo in 1976 in Reno, Nevada, as a fundraiser for local community organizations.

Ragsdale faced some difficulties renting space and animals when arena owners and stock contractors learned the event was for queer people.

Nonetheless, Ragsdale’s first rodeo largely went off without a hitch. Soon known as the National Reno Gay Rodeo, the event expanded from the couple hundred spectators and participants who attended that first year to an annual event that sometimes attracted more than 10,000 people.

In 1981, John King opened Charlie’s Denver, a gay country western bar managed by Wayne Jakino. The venue provided a space for cowfolx – or queer ranchers, rodeoers and country western enthusiasts across the gender and sexuality spectrum – to gather and form a community. Friends who met at the bar traveled en masse to the 1982 Reno rodeo. In 1983, they held their own rodeo in Denver, calling it the Rocky Mountain Regional Rodeo.

The Denver rodeo was the first gay rodeo to take place outside of Nevada, but it was soon joined by others, with four additional rodeos taking place in Oklahoma City, Phoenix, Los Angeles and Dallas by the end of 1986.

 

Colorado’s leadership

Thanks to the leadership of King and Jakino, the Rocky Mountain Regional Rodeo helped other gay rodeos get off the ground across the United States and Canada.

As Reno’s rodeo stumbled and eventually collapsed in 1984, Rocky Mountain Regional Rodeo members worked with groups in Texas, California and Arizona to form the International Gay Rodeo Association in 1985. Jakino took the reins as the organization’s first president.

Jakino was particularly interested in bringing a sense of professionalism to gay rodeo, though that emphasis was always balanced with fun, campiness and sexual freedom. In 1982, Jakino wrote a letter to Ragsdale in which he outlined his goal of promoting “the professionalism of gay rodeos and the enjoyment of our members and rodeo fans alike.”

Controversy in the Rockies

This emphasis on professionalism didn’t protect the International Gay Rodeo Association from anti-LGBTQ+ backlash.

The Colorado Gay Rodeo Association explained to its membership in a 1988 newsletter that the first year the group held the Denver rodeo, eight arenas turned them away because they were an LGBTQ+ organization – and that their current arena was barely on board with hosting them. The group called on its membership to prepare themselves for this kind of opposition and to come together in order to “be a constructive force in the well being of the gay community!”

Anti-LGBTQ+ hostility grew more heated in the 1980s as the AIDS epidemic spread across the country. Even as the Colorado Gay Rodeo Association fought to remain visible and present, its members were literally fighting for their lives. Two of the group’s founding members died of AIDS in 1986, and the organization directed its fundraising efforts toward helping with the HIV-AIDS crisis.

With the expansion of the Christian Right in the 1980s and ‘90s, Colorado experienced intense campaigns to oppose “the militant homosexual attack on traditional values,” as the Colorado for Family Values organization put it.

This group urged voters to pass Amendment 2, which would prevent towns or cities from creating laws to protect LGBTQ+ people and void the ordinances already in place in cities like Aspen and Boulder. Funded by national conservative groups like Eagle Forum and Focus on the Family, conservatives successfully passed the amendment in late 1992. This prompted a nationwide response called Boycott Colorado. The boycott cost the state roughly US$120 million in lost tourism. Boycott organizers hoped to deter other states from passing similar legislation, but the boycott also threatened queer-owed businesses in the state, including the rodeo.

While Amendment 2 was overturned by the Supreme Court in 1996 and never went into effect, Jakino and others were placed in the awkward position of having to ask their supporters to break boycotts to ensure their own economic survival.

In 1993, Jakino wrote to fellow rodeo associations: “We will not be driven out of Colorado or any other state and we pray that you will be there in even greater numbers as a message to Colorado and the nation – We will fight against discrimination and for our Equal Rights!”

For Jakino and many other gay rodeoers, their continued presence in the world of rodeo was a poignant act of resistance. 

 

Gay rodeo’s future

Having survived AIDS, homophobic legislation and national boycotts, the future of gay rodeo – even such long-standing events like the Rocky Mountain Regional Rodeo – is far from assured. While the AIDS epidemic decimated gay rodeo in some ways, it also attracted people to its ranks who wanted to fundraise for their queer community. Similarly, homophobic attacks united gay rodeo against outside opposition.

Since the late 1990s, the International Gay Rodeo Association’s story has turned from boom to bust, with more associations shuttering each year. By 2013, there were more defunct associations than active ones for the first time in International Gay Rodeo Association history, and in 2019 the organization held just 10 rodeos versus 22 in its prime. The COVID-19 pandemic was a crushing blow to a group already struggling for survival.

Yet there is hope for the future, as more recent years have seen 12 rodeos back on the circuit. The Colorado Gay Rodeo Association packed stands at its 40th anniversary rodeo in 2023, but it may have a bumpy ride ahead.