Friday, March 14, 2025

Missouri Secretary of State pauses funding for OverDrive, used at K-12 libraries by Sam Hartle

 

KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Missouri Secretary of State Denny Hoskins Monday announced a pause in funding pending an investigation into a platform that provides content to K-12 school libraries across the state.

In his announcement Monday, Hoskins took aim at a program called OverDrive, which provides K-12 students access to ebooks, audiobooks and magazines through their school library.

Hoskins based his decision on “allegations regarding inappropriate materials accessible to minors.”

Hoskins release did not provide any additional information regarding the allegations in the news release.

 

“Our priority is protecting Missouri’s children while holding taxpayer-funded vendors accountable,” Hoskins said Monday. “We expect OverDrive to clarify its policies and demonstrate how it is ensuring appropriate access to content.”

In a statement provided to KSHB 41 News on Tuesday, the Missouri Library Association said it “is confident the findings of the Secretary of State’s investigation will result in a timely reinstatement of funding.”

Thursday, March 13, 2025

Trump's hiring freeze has halted local head counts and could threaten the U.S. census by Hansi Lo Wang

 

Unless the White House changes its order, counting can't start in White House, Tenn.

It's one of at least three communities in the South and Midwest with plans for a special local census this year that are now on ice because of President Trump's hiring freeze on federal government employees.

"This was unexpected. We didn't think that it would affect something like this. But it did," John Corbitt, White House's mayor, tells NPR.

The Tennessee town — about an hour north of Nashville and named after what was once a white-painted inn — paid the U.S. Census Bureau more than $581,000 upfront last August for a local head count ahead of the next once-a-decade, national census in 2030. A more up-to-date tally could boost the town's share of population-based funding from the state by as much as $875,000 a year, local officials estimate.

 "We've experienced some pretty rapid growth along with the rest of Middle Tennessee," Corbitt says. "We realized that the [last national] census that was done five years ago had us a little under 13,000 people. And based on the number of houses that have gone up, people that have moved here, we know we're well above that."

 

In Tennessee, only a certified population count produced through either a special local census or the national tally can be used to determine state funding levels. Results from a bureau-conducted special census can also be factored into the federal government's annual population estimates, which are used to distribute federal money to communities.

But exactly how close today's White House is to local officials' estimate of 18,000 residents will remain a mystery for now.

After Trump issued a memorandum in January restricting the federal government from hiring civilian employees, Corbitt says the bureau told local officials they had to pause their special census plans, which included rolling out an online questionnaire in February and sending door knockers to visit unresponsive households starting in April.

"They're the ones doing the hiring, so technically, they're federal employees," Corbitt explains.

The bureau's public information office did not respond to a request for comment.

 

Still, NPR has confirmed the federal hiring freeze has also halted special censuses in the towns of Aurora, Ill., and Westfield, Ind., which set aside close to $1.8 million to pay for a local tally to start in May.

"If the census will not occur, we would expect [a] refund so that we can invest those funds in local projects, such as infrastructure needs," Scott Willis — the mayor of Westfield, a northern Indianapolis suburb — tells NPR in a statement.

There are signs of trouble for ongoing local counts and the U.S. census in 2030

Trump's hiring freeze has not stopped the bureau-run local tallies in the Chicago suburbs of Volo, Ill., and West Dundee, Ill., where counting began in January.

 

But Kelly Mastera, assistant to the village manager in West Dundee, says census workers who started knocking on doors last month have reported getting a lot of pushback from some residents they tried to interview, including questions about why this special census is taking place at the beginning of Trump's second administration.

"When we were looking at this from a strategic standpoint at the village level, we were not at all looking at the federal elections. We were more monitoring it and seeing when the data would be available in calculating out the cost-benefit of doing a special census," Mastera says.

 

Advocates of the U.S. census are watching to see how the hiring freeze could affect preparations for the national 2030 count, which is set to be used to determine each state's share of congressional seats, Electoral College votes and federal funding in the coming decade.

With thousands of temporary workers needed for a major 2030 census field test coming up next year, the hiring freeze could derail efforts to improve the counts of people of color, young children and other historically undercounted populations, says Meeta Anand, senior program director of census and data equity at The Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights.

"Failing to conduct the test properly, you know, sadly leads us to worry that that means that the 2030 census will not count all communities accurately," Anand warns. "2030 sounds like it's a long way away, but we're at a crucial and critical point of the cycle."

For the mayor of Tennessee's White House, though, the focus remains on getting his town counted again first.

"We've paid for the special census, so there's really no way to plan except just to stay in touch with the Census Bureau and get updates from them," Corbitt says. "We're sort of in the dark here."

 

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Exhausted by the news? Here are 6 strategies to stay informed without getting overwhelmed − or misled by misinformation by Seth Ashley

 

Political spin is nothing new, and identifying reliable news and information can be hard to do during any presidency. But the return of Donald Trump to the White House has reignited debates over truth, accountability and the role of media in a deeply divided America.

Misinformation is an umbrella term that covers all kinds of false and misleading content, and there is lots of it out there.

During Trump’s chaotic first presidency, the president himself promoted false claims about COVID-19, climate change and the 2020 election.

Now, in his second term, Trump is again using the bully pulpit of the presidency to spread false claims – for example, on Ukraine and Canada as well as immigration, inflation and, still, the 2020 election.

Meanwhile, social media platforms such as Meta have ended fact-checking programs created after Trump’s first election win, and presidential adviser Elon Musk continues to use social media platform X to amplify Trump’s false claims and his own conspiracy theories.

To stay informed while also arming yourself against misinformation, it’s crucial to practice what I call good “news hygiene” by developing strong news literacy skills. 

 News literacy, as I argue in my open-access 2020 book “News Literacy and Democracy” and in recent research with colleagues, is about more than fact-checking and detecting AI-generated fakes. It’s about understanding how modern media works and how content is influenced, from TikTok “newsfluencers” to FOX News to The New York Times.

Here are six ways to become a smarter, saner news consumer.

 

1. Recognize the influence of algorithms

Algorithms are the hidden computer formulas that mediate everything news consumers read, watch, click on and react to online. Despite the illusion of neutrality, algorithms shape people’s perceptions of reality and are designed to maximize engagement.

Algorithmic recommendation engines that power everything from X to YouTube can even contribute to a slow-burn destabilization of American society by shoving consumers into partisan echo chambers that increase polarization and erode social trust.

Sometimes, algorithms can feed falsehoods that warp people’s perceptions or tell them to engage in dangerous behavior. Facebook groups spreading “Stop the Steal” messages contributed to the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol insurrection. TikTok algorithms had people drinking laundry detergent in the “borax challenge.” Dylann Roof killed nine Black people based on falsehoods from hate groups he found in search results.

Rather than passively consuming whatever appears in your feeds – allowing brain rot to set in – actively seek out a variety of sources to inform you about current events. The news shouldn’t just tell you what you want to hear.

And spread the word. People who simply understand that algorithms filter information are more likely to take steps to combat misinformation.

2. Understand the economics of corporate news

Media outlets operate within economic systems that shape their priorities.

For-profit newsrooms, which produce the bulk of news consumed in the U.S., rely heavily on advertising revenue, which can reduce the quality of news and create a commercial bias. Places such as ABC, CNN and FOX, as well as local network TV affiliates, can still do good work, but their business model helps to explain sensational horse-race election coverage and false-balance reporting that leaves room for doubt on established facts about climate change and vaccines.

At the same time, the economic outlook for news is not good. Declining revenues and staff cuts also reduce the quality of news.

Nonprofit newsrooms and public media provide alternatives that generally prioritize public interest over profit. And if you have the budget, paying for quality journalism with a subscription can help credible outlets survive.

Traditional journalism has never been perfect, but the collapse of the news business is unquestionably bad for democracy. Countries with better funding for public media tend to have stronger democracies, and compared with other rich nations, the U.S. spends almost nothing on public service broadcasting.

3. Focus on source evaluation and verification

Particularly with AI-generated content on the rise, source evaluation and verification are essential skills. Here are some ways to identify trustworthy journalism:

  • Quality of evidence: Are claims verified with support from a variety of informed individuals and perspectives?

  • Transparency about sources: Is the reporter clear about where their information came from and who shared it?

  • Adherence to ethical guidelines: Does the outlet follow the basic journalistic principles of accuracy and independence?

  • Corrections: Does the outlet correct its errors and follow up on incomplete reporting?

Be cautious with content that lacks the author’s name, relies heavily on anonymous sources – or uses no sources at all – or is published by outlets with a clear ideological agenda. These aren’t immediate disqualifiers – some credible news magazines such as The Economist have no bylines, for example, and some sources legitimately need anonymity for protection – but watch out for news operations that routinely engage in these practices and obscure their motive for doing so.

A good online verification practice is called “lateral reading.” That’s when you open new browser tabs to verify claims you see on news sites and social media. Ask: Is anyone else covering this, and have they reached similar conclusions?

4. Examine your emotional reactions

One of the hallmarks of misinformation is its ability to provoke strong emotional responses, whether outrage, fear or validation.

These reactions, research shows, can cloud judgment and make people more susceptible to false or misleading information. The primitive brains of humans are wired to reject information that challenges our beliefs and to accept information we like, a phenomenon known as confirmation bias.

When encountering content that sparks an emotional reaction, ask yourself: Who benefits from this narrative? What evidence supports it? Is this information informative or manipulative?

If the answers make you suspicious, investigate further before acting or sharing.

5. Guard against propaganda

Everyone in politics works to shape narratives in order to gain support for their agenda. It’s called spin.

But Trump goes further, spreading documented lies to pump up his followers and undermine the legitimacy of basic democratic institutions.

He also targets media he doesn’t like. From discrediting critical outlets as “fake news” or calling journalists the “enemy of the people,” these tactics silence dissent, undermine public trust in journalism and alter perceptions around acceptable public discourse and behavior.

Meanwhile, he amplifies information and people who support his political causes. This is called propaganda.

 

Understanding the mechanics of propaganda – its use of repetition, emotional appeal, scapegoating, scare tactics and unrealistic promises – can help inoculate people against its influence.

6. Stay engaged

Democracy relies on an informed and active citizenry to hold accountable their government and the officials who work in it as well as other powerful players in society. Yet the sheer volume of misinformation and bad news these days can feel overwhelming.

Rather than tuning out – what scholars call “news avoidance” – you can practice critical consumption of news.

Read deeply, look beyond headlines and short video clips, question the framing of stories, and encourage discussions about the role of media in society. Share reliable information with your friends and colleagues, and model good news hygiene for others.

Correcting misinformation is notoriously hard, so if someone you know shares it, start a dialogue by asking – privately and gently – where they heard it and whether they think it’s really true.

Finally, set goals for your consumption. What are your information needs at any given moment, and where can you meet that need? Some experts say 30 minutes a day is enough. Don’t waste your time on garbage.

Touch grass

While it’s important to stay engaged, so is getting outside and connecting with nature to calm and soothe your busy brain. Logging off and connecting with people in real life will keep your support system strong for when things are tough. Protect your mental health by turning off notifications and taking breaks from your phone.

Practicing good news hygiene isn’t just about protecting ourselves – it’s about fostering a media environment that supports democracy and informed participation.

Monday, March 10, 2025

The dark parallels between 1920s America and today’s political climate by Alex Green

 

As promised, the second Trump administration has quickly rolled out a slew of policies and executive orders that the president says are all aimed at “Making America Great Again.” This takes on different forms, including Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency quickly laying off thousands of workers at various federal agencies, and President Donald Trump pausing all funding for Ukraine.

Trump says that, among others, there are three groups that are making America not-great: immigrants, people with disabilities, and people who are committed to diversity, equity and inclusion policies.

These administration efforts began at a time when many Americans expressed an overall rising sense of dissatisfaction with the state of the country and politics. Just 19% of Americans said in December 2024 that they think the country is heading in the right direction.

This perspective is striking not only because it is so dark, but because it strongly resembles how Americans felt during a pivotal decade 100 years ago, when people’s dissatisfaction with the state of the country led to a series of discriminatory, hateful policies by the federal government.

It’s a period of American history that I think offers something of a mirror of the current political situation in the U.S.

 The Roaring ‘20s?

In the 1920s, the economy was good, the U.S. had won World War I, and a terrible pandemic ended

 

But many Americans did not see it that way.

They entered the 1920s with a growing sense of paranoia and a feeling that they had been robbed of something. Winning World War I had come at a terrible cost. More than 116,000 American soldiers died and twice that number came home wounded.

As the war came to a close, the U.S. – and the world – was in the throes of the flu pandemic that ultimately claimed tens of millions of lives, including about 675,000 in the U.S.

Other Americans were concerned about the possible rise of communism in the U.S., as well as the arrival of many immigrants. This led extremists to introduce and implement hate-based policies at the federal and state level that targeted nonwhite immigrants and disabled people.

Among the most significant results of that political moment was the 1924 Johnson-Reed Act, a restrictive immigration policy that, among other changes, prohibited immigration from Asia.

Another pivotal movement was the Supreme Court’s 1927 Buck v. Bell decision, which affirmed that the state of Virginia had the right to sterilize intellectually and developmentally disabled people.

Discrimination against marginalized groups

The Johnson-Reed Act prompted a major shift in American immigration policy, based on the fear of something that former President Theodore Roosevelt and others called “race suicide.”

The law introduced rigid restrictions keeping people out of the country who were not from Northern and Western Europe. The immigration quotas that it established would continue to be enforced into the 1960s.

The U.S. politicians who lobbied for this law were successful because they supported their effort by presenting evidence that showed purportedly scientific proof that almost all people in the world were biologically inferior to a group they called the Nordic Race – meaning people from Northern Europe – and their American descendants, who formed a group they called the “American Race.”

By restricting immigration from all other groups, these legislators believed they were counterbalancing a crushing period where war and pandemic had killed off what they saw as the country’s best people.

Different groups preyed on Americans’ grief about the war and pandemic and directed it against minority groups. 

 

From Maine to California, a revived Ku Klux Klan attracted millions of followers with its belief that white people were superior to all others, and that Black people should remain enslaved. At the same time, a group of scientists, doctors and psychologists found enormous success in persuading the public that there were scientific reasons why hatred and discrimination needed to be incorporated into American government.

Their proof was something called eugenics, a pseudoscience which argued that humans had to use advanced technology and medicine to get people with good traits to reproduce while stopping those with bad traits from having the opportunity to do so.

Harry Laughlin, a eugenicist based at a research laboratory in Cold Spring Harbor, New York, was one of this movement’s most vocal representatives.

Laughlin worked for several different eugenics research organizations, and this helped him become successful at creating propaganda supporting eugenics that influenced public policy. He then gained a spot as an expert eugenics adviser to Congress in the early 1920s. With his position, Laughlin then provided the pseudoscientific data that gave the supporters of Johnson-Reed the claims they needed to justify passing the measure.

 

A push for sterilization

In Laughlin’s influential 1922 book “Eugenic Sterilization in the United States,” he detailed a road map for passing a law that would allow governments to sterilize disabled people.

After so much death during World War I and the influenza pandemic, Laughlin found fertile ground for making a case that the U.S. needed to stop people who might be considered “feeble-minded” from passing down inferior traits.

In the mid-1920s, Laughlin and his allies pressed a court case against a teenage woman whom the state of Virginia had deemed an imbecile and incarcerated at a massive Virginia institution for the feeble-minded. This woman, Carrie Buck, was incarcerated after she gave birth to a child in 1924 who was conceived as a result of rape. If Buck, who was 18 years old at the time, had any hope of being released, the officials who ran the institution demanded she be sterilized first.

All across the country, states had begun legalizing forced sterilization. Now, this case of Buck v. Bell made its way to the U.S. Supreme Court. In 1927, Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr. issued the court’s ruling, which had only one dissent. In it, he wrote that “three generations of imbeciles is enough” and extended the scope of a previous ruling that allowed the government to compel people to get vaccinated to include forced sterilization of disabled people.

Buck was forcibly sterilized in October 1927, shortly after the court’s ruling.

While it is unquestionable that sterilization and other discriminatory policies found common cause with Adolf Hitler’s rising Nazi movement – which used the eugenic ideas of sterilization and mass extermination – they persisted, largely unchallenged, here in the U.S.

Some people, including myself, argue that the spirit of these discriminatory policies still exists in the U.S. today.

A familiar story

Following stalemated wars in Iraq and Afghanistan in the 2000s and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the American economy has been growing.

But sensing a grave decline, some white Americans have turned their sights on people with disabilities, immigrants, transgender and nonbinary people, and people of color as the source of their problems.

Trump regularly encourages this kind of thinking. In January 2025, he blamed an air collision that occurred over the Potomac River and killed 67 people on disabled Federal Aviation Administration employees, implying that they did not possess the intelligence to do their jobs.

Trump falsely said the Jan. 1, 2025, New Orleans terror attack was caused by illegal immigration, even though a Texas-born man drove a car into a crowd of people, killing 14.

At a policy level, Trump’s administration has made significant changes to the immigration system, including taking steps to remove legal protections for 350,000 Venezuelan immigrants in the U.S. And he has launched an unprecedented challenge to birthright citizenship.

There are limits to what history can say about the current situation. But these similarities with the early 1920s suggest that, contrary to many claims about the unprecedented nature of the current times, the country has been here before.

Eighty years since the Tokyo firebombing, survivors are still awaiting recognition by Justin McCurry

 More people were killed in the 1945 attack than the atomic bombing of Nagasaki a few months later, but there is no national memorial, accurate death toll or compensation for survivors

 

Not even the passage of eight decades has dimmed Shizuko Nishio’s memory of the night American bomber planes killed tens of thousands of people in the space of a few hours and turned her city to ash.

In the early hours of 10 March 1945, around 300 B-29 Superfortress bombers dropped 330,000 incendiary devices on Tokyo and killed an estimated 100,000 civilians, in an attack that cost more lives than the atomic bombing, months later, of Nagasaki.

But as survivors prepared to mark the 80th anniversary of the attack, the Tokyo firebombing – the worst conventional bombing of the second world war – barely merits a mention. Some of those survivors are launching one final push for recognition.

 The night before the air raid, Nishio, now 86, was looking forward to celebrating her sixth birthday the following day and to starting primary school. As she slept, the air raid sirens sounded. “My father told us to flee to the primary school in front of our house,” Nishio said.

 The school’s shelter was already packed, so Nishio and her mother moved to another school basement, leaving her cousin and a nurse behind. The following day, the cousin and nurse were among the charred remains of 200 people who had been “cooked alive” inside the first shelter as fires raged outside. Nishio was the only survivor in her kindergarten class of 20 children.

 

The B-29s dumped cluster bombs with napalm specially designed with sticky oil to destroy traditional Japanese-style wood-and-paper homes in the crowded Shitamachi downtown neighbourhoods. The bombs destroyed 41 sq km (16 sq miles) of the Japanese capital, turning buildings into an inferno and leaving 1 million people homeless.

Eclipsed by the tragedies visited on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August the same year, the Tokyo firebombing has been relegated to the darkest recesses of Japan’s collective memory, and virtually ignored by successive governments.

No one denies that the atomic bombings dramatically altered the course of the war. But the Tokyo firebombing, too, marked a sinister escalation in America’s attempt to finally break Japan’s resistance.

 

As a result, US Air Force General Curtis LeMay ordered low-altitude attacks using incendiaries that would raze entire cities to the ground.

“By burning them down, you would kill workers or de-house them,” said Richard Overy, the author of Rain of Ruin: Tokyo, Hiroshima and the Surrender of Japan. “You would destroy small factories scattered around the domestic residential zones. And that this would contribute in some way to undermining the Japanese war economy.

“There is no doubt that civilians were a deliberate target.”

‘Our last chance’

Yoshiaki Tanaka, a professor of ancient history at Senshu University in Tokyo, said many people who lived through the bombings still suffered flashbacks and survivor’s guilt.

“Many still experience severe trauma,” says Tanaka, who has met more than 100 survivors over the past 10 years. “Some of them could not even bring themselves to talk about their experiences, so we suggested that they try drawing pictures, and through that some were able to open up.”

There is no national memorial to the firebombing victims, and no official attempt has been made to establish an accurate death toll or to secure testimony from survivors. Those who lived through the bombings are not entitled to compensation from the government.

 

Since the end of the war, Japanese governments have provided ¥60tn ($405bn) in financial support for military veterans and bereaved families, as well as medical support for survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. But the civilian victims of the US firebombings of Tokyo and other cities have received nothing.

Japanese courts rejected compensation demands of ¥11m ($74,300) each, arguing that citizens, having been mobilised as part of the war effort, were supposed to endure their suffering. In 2020, a group of MPs proposed a one-time payment of ¥500,000 but the plan was scuppered amid opposition from members of the ruling party.

While Tokyo was home to numerous military installations, the bombing of the city’s eastern neighbourhoods, primarily Sumida ward, was indiscriminate. “The aim was to burn all of Sumida ward to the ground,” Tanaka says.

 

Tanaka believes that compensation and a public monument, along with the creation of archives of survivors’ testimony, would go some way towards healing the wounds inflicted eight decades ago, and serve as a warning about the horrors of war for future generations.

“It is absolutely right that we honour the victims and survivors of the atomic bombings,” Tanaka said, “but we should also remember the Tokyo firebombing and look ahead to how we must never let something like that happen again.”

Yumi Yoshida, whose parents and sister died in the bombing, is part of a group of survivors demanding that the government recognise their suffering and provide compensation. Given the advanced age of the survivors, and the long wait before the next major anniversary, Yoshida says: “This year will be our last chance.”

Nishio went on to study public health and joined the National Institute of Infectious Diseases. But she was unable to talk about her experiences until after she had retired.

Now, the war in Ukraine is again forcing her to recall the night of terror she experienced as a young child. “I was watching a television report about the situation in Ukraine, and there was a little girl crying in a shelter ... and I thought, ‘This is me.’”

Friday, March 7, 2025

As Canadians cancel trips due to Trump, the U.S. tourism industry could lose billions By Joe Hernandez

 

Leena Yousefi and her family typically visit Hawaii four or five times a year. The Vancouver attorney used to live in Maui and had booked another trip for this year.

But that was before President Trump, shortly after taking office in January, said he would impose 25% tariffs on many Canadian goods and repeated his wish to turn the country into the 51st U.S. state.

"Obviously out of loyalty to Canada and our values and just holding our ground, we had to cancel," Yousefi said.

 

Her family was even considering buying a two-bedroom condo in Hawaii given how often they vacation there. "But now we're looking at Costa Rica," she said.

The Trump administration's recent attacks on its northern neighbor have been met with confusion, frustration and anger by many Canadians, some of whom are now abandoning their trips south and boycotting travel to the U.S. in protest.

Tourism industry leaders say that could pose a major threat to the U.S. travel sector, which relies heavily on Canadian visitors. According to the U.S. Travel Association, Canadians are the largest group of foreign visitors to the U.S. annually and accounted for $20.5 billion in spending last year alone.

Florida, California, Nevada, New York and Texas are the top U.S. states for Canadian tourists.

Canadians are scrapping their U.S. travel plans

Signs of a Canadian tourist backlash are cropping up from accommodations in Vermont to campgrounds in New Jersey.

Bookings at U.S. hotels just over the Canadian border are also down. The data analytics firm CoStar Group found that the demand for hotel rooms in a four-week period covering part of January and most of February had decreased 8% year over year in Niagara Falls, N.Y., and 12% in the Bellingham area of northwest Washington, about 50 miles south of Vancouver.

 

Catherine Prather, president of the U.S.-based National Tour Association, said she's heard reports from "dozens" of members about Canadian travelers cancelling the tours they had booked to the U.S. — particularly in response to Trump's stated goal of annexing the longtime ally. "Canadians feel disrespected, and that's very challenging to them because we have always been such loyal, loyal partners," she said.

Not everyone is as worried about a potential decline in Canadian travel to the U.S.

Beth Potter, president of the Tourism Industry Association of Canada, said there has been an increase in Canadians booking domestic vacations but that the tourism industry is viewing the situation as a "small blip" in the longstanding relationship between the two countries.

 

Marriott recently downplayed concerns that Canadians would quit traveling to the U.S., and Air Canada Executive Vice President Mark Galardo said in an earnings call that there "could be a slowdown" but that the carrier wasn't seeing it yet.

Still, according to a poll released last month by the market research firm Leger, nearly half of Canadians surveyed said they were less likely to travel to the U.S. this year. Most of them said they planned to travel within Canada instead.

The shift in Canadians' travel preferences dovetails with a souring national mood toward the U.S. An Ipsos poll for Global News released in early February, after Trump had announced the tariffs, found that 68% of residents surveyed thought less of their southern neighbor.

Lorna Hundt, CEO of the tour company Great Canadian Holidays, said most of the firm's U.S. tours are now "dead in the water" because so many of their Canadian customers have backed out.

"The anger is not with the American people. The anger is with Donald Trump," Hundt said. "And the feeling is that if he is going to go to war with Canada — something we never asked for, an economic war — then why on Earth would they spend a nickel in the United States when they don't have to?"

 

In early February, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau encouraged Canadians to spend their money domestically in response to the U.S. tariffs.

"It might mean changing your summer vacation plans to stay here in Canada and explore the many national and provincial parks, historical sites and tourist destinations our great country has to offer," Trudeau said.

After rebounding from COVID, the U.S. tourism industry faces another crisis

Tourism industry leaders say it's too early to tell how much of an impact would be felt by a dip in Canadian tourism, but estimates suggest the U.S. has a lot to lose if Canadians snub the States en masse.

 

Prather of the National Tour Association said cancellations could mean "millions" in lost revenue to tour companies, hotels, restaurants and more. The U.S. Travel Association estimated that even a 10% reduction in Canadian tourism to the U.S. would spell a $2.1 billion drop in spending and a loss of 14,000 American jobs.

An expanded trade war ensnaring Canada, Mexico, China and even Europe, according to the research firm Tourism Economics, could result in a $22 billion loss in tourism revenue from international visitors.

This all comes as the tourism industry continues to dig out of the hole left by the COVID-19 pandemic, which clobbered the hospitality sector.

American Bus Association President Fred Ferguson says there are still more American tourists leaving the country than there are foreign visitors coming in, but Canadian travelers are helping lessen that deficit.

 

"Canada has been one of the bright spots post-COVID of closing the gap, but I think with the rhetoric, with the news, we are going to see slowdowns in Canadian travel," Ferguson said.

And it's not just the resentment created by the tariffs but also the tariffs themselves that will impact the U.S. tourism industry. The association says motor coach equipment manufacturers are mainly located in Canada and Europe, and many motor coach buses are imported.

Those economic pressures are squeezing the U.S. tourism industry just as it prepares for the busy spring and summer travel seasons, Ferguson added.

"We're just now kind of ramping up to be hosting this influx of visitation," he said. "And I think people are really concerned that if this rhetoric continues — which seemingly it is — people are just going to say, 'You know what, we're not coming. We're going to stay local, stay in Canada, stay in Europe, and not deal with the U.S.' "

Trump’s Canadian tariffs include lumber. He is pushing to cut down American trees instead. By Laura Paddison,

 

President Donald Trump is promising to unleash the US timber industry by allowing companies to raze swaths of federally protected national forests.

The Trump administration quietly issued an executive order Saturday for the “immediate expansion” of commercial logging on federal lands, setting out deadlines for officials to figure out how to fast-track permits and circumvent restrictions set out in the Endangered Species Act and other environmental protections.

The order — which calls for the ramping up of the domestic timber production to avoid reliance on “foreign producers” — was followed three days later by sweeping 25% tariffs on Canadian products, including lumber.

The United States has an “abundance of timber resources that are more than adequate to meet our domestic timber production needs,” the executive order says.

However, it’s more complex than simply swapping out Canadian imports for homegrown timber, said industry experts, who warned tariffs could end up increasing lumber and building costs — and even push up housing prices for consumers.

Meanwhile, environmental groups say clearcutting national forests will pollute the air and water, endanger wildlife and exacerbate climate change. “Trump’s order will unleash the chainsaws and bulldozers on our beautiful, irreplaceable federal forests,” said Randi Spivak, public lands policy director at the Center for Biological Diversity. 

 

The US relies heavily on Canada for its lumber. Last year 23.6% of the lumber consumed in the US was shipped in from its northern neighbor, according to Forest Economic Advisors.

Anna Kelly, White House deputy press secretary, said Trump’s executive order addresses “the national security threat posed by an overreliance on foreign timber and lumber, while simultaneously increasing America’s lumber supply at home.”

She referred to multiple organizations that have released statements of support about opening up federal land for logging, including the American Loggers Council, the American Forest Resource Council and the Forest Landowners Association.

Increasing logging on federal lands would increase the supply of logs for US industry, said Rocky Goodnow, vice president of North American Timber Service at Forest Economic Advisors. But it won’t replace Canadian imports in the near term, he told CNN.

That’s because it takes time to expand an industry. The US needs to build more sawmills to produce the lumber, as well as develop the labor force in rural areas and increase logging capacity, Goodnow said. 

 

In the meantime, prices are already going up, said Buddy Hughes, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders.

While he welcomed “efforts to eliminate barriers to domestic lumber production,” he said a lack of sawmill capacity means “any move in the short-term to add tariffs or hinder the flow of lumber from Canada will only harm housing affordability.”

Any more tariffs or restrictions could further increase the cost of construction and discourage new development, he told CNN. “Consumers end up paying for the tariffs in the form of higher home prices,” he added.

The NAHB’s chief economist Robert Dietz said he was hearing anecdotally from builders that the new tariffs could increase costs anywhere from $7,500 to $10,000 per home. 

 

Trump’s executive order says federal restrictions on logging have “contributed to wildfire disasters (and) degraded fish and wildlife habitats,” but the environmental law group Earthjustice said cutting down trees releases planet-heating pollution, exacerbating the climate crisis.

“Hotter temperatures caused by climate change, in turn, create dry forest conditions that are more susceptible to fire,” said a spokesperson for Earthjustice. In addition, the debris often left behind by the logging industry, including needles and leaves, “essentially acts as tinder,” they added.

Spivak of the Center for Biological Diversity said logging on public lands risks polluting water and threatens the more than 400 species protected under the Endangered Species Act that rely on national forests, including grizzly bears, spotted owls and wild salmon.

“This is a particularly horrific move by Trump to loot our public lands by handing the keys to the kingdom over to big business,” Spivak said.

Earthjustice — which sued the government over its attempts to approve a huge logging program in the Tongass National Forest in Alaska during Trump’s first term — said it plans to closely monitor what the US Forest Service and the Bureau of Land Management do in response to the order.